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Economic Forecasting/Analysis

CBER has produced forecasts of economic activity in Alabama since 1980. These forecasts cover Alabama Gross Domestic Product, employment, and income by industry group and are published in the annual Alabama Economic Outlook. Forecast updates are run quarterly. The current economic forecast is Fourth Quarter 2014.

The Center for Business and Economic Research in UA’s Culverhouse College of Commerce will hold its 27th annual Economic Outlook Conference from 8:30 a.m. to 1:30 p.m. on Thursday, January 15, 2015 at the Renaissance Montgomery Hotel & Spa at the Convention Center.  Please join us for an expert view of the U.S. and Alabama economic outlooks for 2015.  The conference will include presentations on Alabama Tax Revenue Issues as well as a luncheon address on Alabama Economic Development Issues. 

Speakers include:

Jo Bonner, The University of Alabama System
David Altig, Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta
Samuel Addy, Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama
Ahmad Ijaz, Center for Business and Economic Research, The University of Alabama
Ira Harvey, Financial Affairs, The University of Alabama 

Details are provided in the Economic Outlook Conference 2015 brochure.  The registration fee of $150 is nonrefundable but transferable and is due by January 9.  Registration by credit card is available online in the CBER Store.  You can register online, or by mail using the Registration Form in the brochure.  Please call 205.348.6191 with any questions.

The 2015 Economic Outlook Conference is sponsored by:
Alabama Department of Economic and Community Affairs, Alabama International Trade Center, Alabama Power, Alabama SBDC Network, Alagasco, BlueCross BlueShield of Alabama, Boeing, Hyundai Motor Manufacturing Alabama, Lockheed Martin Space Systems, PowerSouth Energy Cooperative, ServisFirst Bank, and Vulcan Materials.

CBER conducts the Alabama Business Confidence Index™ (ABCI) survey quarterly. The online survey provides a forecast of how Alabama business executives think the nation, the state, and their industry will perform during the upcoming quarter. Indices are calculated for the state as a whole, four major metro areas, and selected industries. Results of the survey are published in a quarterly online newsletter and are included in the Center’s economic outlook presentations.

CBER uses economic and statistical modeling and analysis techniques in funded research projects.

Examples of Center projects include:

  • Economic Impact of Retail Electric Competition in Alabama
  • Telecommunications in Alabama: Economic Analysis of Changes in Property and Utility Taxation
  • Greenhouse Gas Inventory and Policy Planning to Reduce Greenhouse Gas Emissions
  • Economic Impact of The Boeing Company on Alabama
  • Economic Impact of the Coalbed Methane Industry

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Center for Business and Economic Research, Box 870221, Tuscaloosa, AL 35487-0221
Phone: 205.348.6191, Fax: 205.348.2951, Email: uacber@cba.ua.edu